Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000594 0.000637 0.000683 0.000733 0.000787 0.000844 0.000907
2025-12-14 0.000520 0.000580 0.000645 0.000720 0.000804 0.000896 0.001004
2025-12-21 0.000467 0.000538 0.000616 0.000710 0.000819 0.000942 0.001091
2025-12-28 0.000417 0.000493 0.000579 0.000685 0.000812 0.000959 0.001143
2026-01-04 0.000381 0.000461 0.000554 0.000671 0.000814 0.000984 0.001203
2026-01-11 0.000358 0.000442 0.000541 0.000669 0.000830 0.001025 0.001282
2026-01-18 0.000339 0.000426 0.000532 0.000671 0.000848 0.001069 0.001365
2026-01-25 0.000322 0.000411 0.000522 0.000669 0.000862 0.001106 0.001440
2026-02-01 0.000302 0.000392 0.000505 0.000658 0.000862 0.001125 0.001492
2026-02-08 0.000285 0.000375 0.000491 0.000650 0.000864 0.001145 0.001545
2026-02-15 0.000270 0.000361 0.000478 0.000642 0.000867 0.001167 0.001600
2026-02-22 0.000258 0.000349 0.000468 0.000638 0.000874 0.001193 0.001661
2026-03-01 0.000246 0.000338 0.000460 0.000636 0.000885 0.001228 0.001741
2026-03-08 0.000233 0.000324 0.000447 0.000627 0.000887 0.001250 0.001802
2026-03-15 0.000221 0.000311 0.000435 0.000620 0.000889 0.001273 0.001865
2026-03-22 0.000205 0.000293 0.000415 0.000598 0.000870 0.001263 0.001880
2026-03-29 0.000193 0.000279 0.000401 0.000586 0.000864 0.001272 0.001922
2026-04-05 0.000186 0.000272 0.000395 0.000585 0.000875 0.001305 0.002003
2026-04-12 0.000180 0.000266 0.000391 0.000586 0.000888 0.001344 0.002093
2026-04-19 0.000173 0.000259 0.000385 0.000585 0.000898 0.001376 0.002174
2026-04-26 0.000165 0.000250 0.000375 0.000576 0.000894 0.001387 0.002222
2026-05-03 0.000158 0.000241 0.000366 0.000568 0.000893 0.001402 0.002275
2026-05-10 0.000151 0.000233 0.000358 0.000562 0.000893 0.001419 0.002333